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On August 20, the Federal Reserve's meeting minutes indicated that Fed staff expect overall inflation to decline in the second half of this year, primarily due to anticipated decreases in retail gasoline prices, while core inflation is expected to slow modestly. Real GDP growth is projected to be slightly above potential growth next year, with financial conditions and AI-related investments providing support to the economy. The unemployment rate is expected to remain close to the long-term equilibrium level estimated by Fed staff this year, with a slight decrease next year, falling to just below the long-term equilibrium level by 2028. Compared to the forecasts made during the June meeting, the Fed staff's outlook for economic activity appears somewhat weaker, mainly due to recent data performance falling short of prior expectations. The Fed staff still believes that their economic forecasts face significant uncertainty, stemming from the current geopolitical situation and the unclear economic impacts of AI investments and applications. Overall, the risks to the forecasts for employment and real GDP growth are skewed to the downside, while the risks to the inflation forecast are tilted to the upside, with one risk being that inflation may prove to be more persistent and longer-lasting than the Fed staff anticipates.

On August 20, the Federal Reserve meeting minutes indicated that Fed staff expect overall inflation to decline in the second half of this year, primarily due to anticipated decreases in retail gasoline prices, while core inflation is expected to slow slightly. Real GDP growth is projected to be slightly above potential growth next year, with financial conditions and AI-related investments providing support for the economy. The unemployment rate is expected to remain close to the long-term equilibrium level estimated by Fed staff this year, with a slight decline next year, and dropping to just below the long-term equilibrium level by 2028. Compared to the forecasts made during the June meeting, the Fed staff's outlook for economic activity appears somewhat weaker, mainly due to recent data releases falling short of previous expectations. The Fed staff still believes that their economic forecasts face significant uncertainty, due to the current geopolitical situation and the unclear economic impacts of AI investment and applications. Overall, the risks to employment and real GDP growth forecasts are skewed to the downside, while the risks to inflation forecasts are skewed to the upside, with one risk being that inflation may prove to be more stubborn and persistent than the Fed staff anticipates.

On August 20, according to The Information, Nvidia (NVDA.O) has initiated discussions regarding an investment in data labeling service provider Mercor, according to a source familiar with the matter. Mercor assists the chip designer in developing open-source AI models. This investment will be part of a funding round that values Mercor at $20 billion. Existing investor General Catalyst is currently negotiating to lead this funding round. In the past, most of Mercor's revenue has come from closed-source AI model developers such as OpenAI, Google, and Anthropic. However, as Nvidia prioritizes the development of the Nemotron open-source model, Mercor's revenue from Nvidia is increasing. Nemotron aims to compete with the world's most advanced open-source models. According to sources, Nvidia paid Mercor tens of millions of dollars in the last quarter. In addition to Mercor, Nvidia also utilizes data from other suppliers like Turing and Scale, while also maintaining its own internal data team.