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On September 10, a member of the Bank of Japan's Monetary Policy Committee, Takagi, stated on Thursday that Japan is no longer in a deflationary state and that the central bank must urgently address the issue of negative real interest rates by further raising policy rates. He warned that if the underlying inflation rate significantly exceeds 2%, the Bank of Japan may have to accelerate the pace of interest rate hikes. The market currently widely expects the Bank of Japan to raise rates by 25 basis points to 1.25% at next week's policy meeting. Some traders are even betting that the central bank may signal another rate hike in October. U.S. Treasury Secretary Yellen previously stated that she is 'quite aware' of the Bank of Japan's next steps, further reinforcing market expectations for a rate hike in Japan. Meanwhile, the yen has rebounded from a low of nearly 164 in July to around 153.5, reaching a six-month high. Stefan Angrick, Moody's Chief Economist for the Asia-Pacific region, believes that Takagi's hawkish remarks are another signal of the Bank of Japan's move towards rate hikes, and he expects the central bank may increase the frequency of rate hikes to once every three months in the future. In the bond market, Japan's 10-year government bond yield has surpassed 3%, reaching a nearly 30-year high, indicating that the market is accelerating its reassessment of the asset pricing impacts of Japan's monetary policy normalization.

On September 10, Bank of Japan Monetary Policy Committee member Takahide Kiuchi stated on Thursday that Japan is no longer in a deflationary state, and the central bank must address the issue of negative real interest rates as soon as possible by further raising policy rates. He warned that if the underlying inflation rate significantly exceeds 2%, the Bank of Japan may have to accelerate the pace of interest rate hikes. The market widely expects the Bank of Japan to raise rates by 25 basis points to 1.25% at next week's policy meeting. Some traders are even betting that the central bank may signal another rate hike in October. U.S. Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen previously stated that she is 'quite aware' of the Bank of Japan's next steps, further reinforcing market expectations for a rate increase in Japan. Meanwhile, the yen has rebounded from a low of nearly 164 in July to around 153.5, reaching a six-month high. Stefan Angrick, Moody's Asia-Pacific Chief Economist, believes that Kiuchi's hawkish remarks are another signal of the Bank of Japan's move towards rate hikes and anticipates that the central bank may increase the frequency of rate hikes to once every three months in the future. In the bond market, the yield on Japan's 10-year government bonds has surpassed 3%, reaching a nearly 30-year high, indicating that the market is rapidly reassessing the impact of normalizing Japan's monetary policy on asset pricing.

According to Beating AI news, Anthropic has released an economic study simulating how AI might impact the U.S. economy by 2030. The study first establishes how much work AI can perform and the speed of corporate adoption, then calculates the corresponding GDP, wages, and unemployment rates. In the most aggressive scenario, AI could affect about 30% of all job tasks in the economy. The U.S. GDP would be 32.4% higher than without AI, but the unemployment rate for knowledge workers would rise to 17.9%, with an overall unemployment rate reaching 11.9%. Wages for knowledge workers would also decrease by 11.5%. The changes in income distribution are quite significant, with labor income's share dropping from 60% to 45.2%, while capital income rises to 54.8%. Although the economic scale expands by nearly one-third, total income for workers only increases by 0.5%, while capital income surges by 81.4%. However, under a less aggressive set of assumptions, the results would be much more moderate. Typical responses from U.S. public surveys are closer to the middle ground, projecting that by 2030, GDP would be about 10% higher than without AI, with an overall unemployment rate of around 5%.