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On August 24, officials from the Bank of Japan will soon have multiple opportunities to either confirm or downplay the market's increasingly aggressive bets on a rate hike in September. Current market pricing indicates that there is about an 82% probability of a rate hike by the central bank in September. Since the rate hike decision in July 2024 faced severe criticism, the Bank of Japan's governor has emphasized the need to strengthen communication with the market. The yen is another key factor prompting the Bank of Japan to convey its policy intentions. Kento Minami, a senior economist at Daiwa Securities, stated, "The Bank of Japan may not explicitly indicate that the next rate hike will occur in September. Instead, officials might hint at the necessity for an early rate hike by emphasizing the risks of rising inflation. The market will interpret this as an acknowledgment of a September rate hike." However, if the Bank of Japan repeatedly emphasizes uncertainty, the need to further observe data, or the need to assess the impact of previous rate hikes, the market may interpret this as a signal to maintain rates in September.

On August 24, officials from the Bank of Japan will soon have multiple opportunities to either confirm or dampen the market's increasingly aggressive bets on a rate hike in September. Current market pricing indicates that there is about an 82% probability that the central bank will raise rates in September. Since the rate hike decision in July 2024 faced severe criticism, the Bank of Japan's governor has emphasized the need to strengthen communication with the market. The yen is another key factor prompting the Bank of Japan to clarify its policy intentions. Kento Minami, a senior economist at Daiwa Securities, stated, "The Bank of Japan may not explicitly indicate that the next rate hike will occur in September. Instead, officials might suggest the necessity for an early rate increase by emphasizing the risks of rising inflation. The market would interpret this as an acknowledgment of a September rate hike." However, if the Bank of Japan repeatedly stresses uncertainty, the need for further data observation, or the need to assess the impact of previous rate hikes, the market may interpret this as a signal to maintain rates in September.

On August 24, the treasury of the DeFi fixed-rate lending protocol Term Finance was subjected to a governance attack, with blockchain security firms PeckShield and CertiK estimating losses of approximately $8.5 million. The attacker reportedly transferred about 2,843 ETH and $1.68 million in USDC, converting the USDC into DAI. The attack targeted the TermStrategyVaults based on the YearnV3 architecture; however, Yearn stated that the vulnerability originated from a custom governance mechanism deployed by Term outside the treasury, and standard Yearn vaults were not affected. Notably, the governance transactions for the Term treasury originally had a 7-day time lock and allowed LPs to vote against proposals, but these protective mechanisms failed to prevent the attack. Prior to the attack, the Term treasury had a total value locked (TVL) of approximately $12.45 million, with the losses accounting for about 68% of its total TVL. TermLabs is currently investigating the specific attack vector.